Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on every other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent affairs. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets consecutively (if it is precisely what your issue is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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